Testing for Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy – further Results

Patrick Minford, Zhirong Ou*, Zheyi Zhu

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this supplement to Minford et al. Int J Financ Econ 26(2):19932021 (2021), we revisit the ‘puzzle’ in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite active cross-country financial markets. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity – both were believed to be different, and spuriously rejected, in previous work – in the context of a full DSGE model of the New Keynesian type. We prove that the two models are identical, both analytically and numerically. When tested as part of such a full DSGE model by indirect inference which circumvents the bias of single-equation tests, we find universal evidence of international risk-sharing.

Original languageEnglish
JournalOpen Economies Review
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Aug 2024

Keywords

  • C12
  • Consumer risk-pooling
  • E12
  • F41
  • Indirect inference test
  • Two-country DSGE model
  • UIP

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