TY - GEN
T1 - Heinous Crime Prevention and Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques
AU - Shahid, Muhammad
AU - Sharif, Wareesa
AU - Ahmad, Mashavia
AU - Mukram, Muhammad
AU - Ali, Nasir
AU - Ahmad, Faizan
AU - Ashraf, Muhammad
AU - Anwaar, Muhammad
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2025.
PY - 2025/7/2
Y1 - 2025/7/2
N2 - Crime is dominant and unpredictable, may happen any place at any time, and is thus a difficult problem for any society to resolve, and predicting the crime before happening is a complex task. The present analysis of comparison for seven well-known prediction algorithms; Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor, Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Stochastic Gradient Descent has led to the suggestion for a better crime prediction model. Using a crime dataset, Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) has been carried out to find patterns and comprehend trends in crimes. Among the aforementioned algorithms, Logistic Regression outperforms with 0.85% accuracy. However, with an ensemble of the Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Support Vector Machine, the model has gained the accuracy of 0.86%. Our system has identified regions with a great possibility of crime incidence and can envisage crime-prone zones through effective patrolling and transfer posting of police officials. This prediction model assists the security agencies in using resources effectively, foreseeing crime at a certain time, day, month, year, and category, which provides expected policing by the department.
AB - Crime is dominant and unpredictable, may happen any place at any time, and is thus a difficult problem for any society to resolve, and predicting the crime before happening is a complex task. The present analysis of comparison for seven well-known prediction algorithms; Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor, Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Stochastic Gradient Descent has led to the suggestion for a better crime prediction model. Using a crime dataset, Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) has been carried out to find patterns and comprehend trends in crimes. Among the aforementioned algorithms, Logistic Regression outperforms with 0.85% accuracy. However, with an ensemble of the Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Support Vector Machine, the model has gained the accuracy of 0.86%. Our system has identified regions with a great possibility of crime incidence and can envisage crime-prone zones through effective patrolling and transfer posting of police officials. This prediction model assists the security agencies in using resources effectively, foreseeing crime at a certain time, day, month, year, and category, which provides expected policing by the department.
KW - Crime prediction
KW - Decision-making
KW - Effective patrolling
KW - Ensemble learning
KW - PUCAR-15 calls
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105013538688
U2 - 10.1007/978-981-96-3352-4_37
DO - 10.1007/978-981-96-3352-4_37
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105013538688
SN - 9789819633517
T3 - Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems
SP - 499
EP - 509
BT - Proceedings of Data Analytics and Management - ICDAM 2024
A2 - Swaroop, Abhishek
A2 - Virdee, Bal
A2 - Correia, Sérgio Duarte
A2 - Polkowski, Zdzislaw
PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
T2 - 5th International Conference on Data Analytics and Management, ICDAM 2024
Y2 - 14 June 2024 through 15 June 2024
ER -