Heinous Crime Prevention and Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques

Muhammad Shahid*, Wareesa Sharif, Mashavia Ahmad, Muhammad Mukram, Nasir Ali, Faizan Ahmad, Muhammad Ashraf, Muhammad Anwaar

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Crime is dominant and unpredictable, may happen any place at any time, and is thus a difficult problem for any society to resolve, and predicting the crime before happening is a complex task. The present analysis of comparison for seven well-known prediction algorithms; Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor, Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Stochastic Gradient Descent has led to the suggestion for a better crime prediction model. Using a crime dataset, Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) has been carried out to find patterns and comprehend trends in crimes. Among the aforementioned algorithms, Logistic Regression outperforms with 0.85% accuracy. However, with an ensemble of the Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Support Vector Machine, the model has gained the accuracy of 0.86%. Our system has identified regions with a great possibility of crime incidence and can envisage crime-prone zones through effective patrolling and transfer posting of police officials. This prediction model assists the security agencies in using resources effectively, foreseeing crime at a certain time, day, month, year, and category, which provides expected policing by the department.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of Data Analytics and Management - ICDAM 2024
EditorsAbhishek Swaroop, Bal Virdee, Sérgio Duarte Correia, Zdzislaw Polkowski
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages499-509
Number of pages11
ISBN (Print)9789819633517
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jul 2025
Event5th International Conference on Data Analytics and Management, ICDAM 2024 - London, United Kingdom
Duration: 14 Jun 202415 Jun 2024

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
Volume1297
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389

Conference

Conference5th International Conference on Data Analytics and Management, ICDAM 2024
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityLondon
Period14/06/2415/06/24

Keywords

  • Crime prediction
  • Decision-making
  • Effective patrolling
  • Ensemble learning
  • PUCAR-15 calls

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